The absolute best draft experts in the world usually only get eight to nine from their entire mock drafts right. That’s not a shot at any individual’s expertise but rather a valid point toward the relevance of any given mock draft in which you choose to put much weight.
Best player available, BPA on the radio, has been the trend of draft experts in the way they choose players for their mocks. In reality, general managers have had this philosophy for years.
But what gets lost in the wind sometimes when discussing the draft on air is the BPA is never a simple enough approach as your only guiding principle.
Every team has needs. Some teams have giant craters at the left tackle position — cough, cough — and every team accounts for its needs to some degree in conjunction with the best player available.
Sometimes a need is so glaring that it can indeed outweigh the best player available philosophy, and instead teams find the top guy at a position of need. It is different every time, but the reality is that there is some ratio between position of need and BPA used on every draft pick.
With all that in mind, I give to you my predictions about the most likely position group to get picked in the first round by the Denver Broncos:
Unfortunately, the hole here for the Broncos is so large it might just force the team to pick an offensive lineman in the first round, even in a year that many experts are calling the worst offensive line class in the last decade.
The hole is so large that an offensive lineman is my most likely position to get drafted.
With guys like Alabama’s Reuben Foster and Temple’s Haason Reddick rumored to potentially be hanging around at No. 20, I lean back into the best player available philosophy.
These guys are game-changing linebackers with the potential to solve Denver’s rush defense issues. If either of those guys is there at No. 20, I would not be surprised if the Broncos go linebacker.
I believe the Broncos will draft a running back in the first three rounds, regardless, but with a broken heart I moved the position down to my third, and least likely, position to get drafted in the first round.
I am beginning to find peace with the fact that Christian McCaffrey will not be available at a pick Denver can comfortably go fire for him.
However, I leave running backs on this list specifically for McCaffrey because I believe the sweet spot for the Broncos to trade up to get him would be in the picks 10 to 12 range.
I don’t believe he gets past the Philadelphia Eagles or Indianapolis Colts at No. 14 and No. 15, respectively, so the Broncos need to move up into that No. 10 to No. 12 range if they want him.
Spend your morning tapping into the wealth of sport knowledge from three-time Super Bowl champion and former Broncos offensive lineman Mark "Stink" Schlereth and longtime Denver sports radio voice Mike Evans. Schlereth spent 12 seasons in the NFL, earning two trips to the Pro Bowl and winning a Super Bowl with the Redskins and two with the Broncos. He's also a longtime NFL analyst for ESPN and supporting cast member of "Ballers" on HBO. Evans has graced the sports radio airwaves for two decades, 15 years in Denver. He's a proud graduate of Syracuse University.
Inject your morning routine with great football discussion and analysis with Fan Broncos Insider Cecil Lammey. Cecil is one of the nations most respected football analysts, gets you the inside scoop from reports from the Broncos UCHealth Training Center to college football all-star games (East-West Shrine Game, Senior Bowl) to the NFL combine and draft. Hes an authority on NFL prospects from across the country. He is also a senior writer for FootballGuys.com. You can follow Cecil on Twitter @cecillammey.
Let Sandy Clough, one of the most recognizable voices in Denver sports radio, guide you through your work day every weekday leading into the afternoon. Sandy's been the authority in sports radio for nearly four decades in Denver. No other show will give you the insight and experience that Sandy provides.
Kick off your afternoon with Stokley and Zach, featuring two-time Super Bowl champion Brandon Stokley and radio veteran Zach Bye. Stokley earned his two NFL titles with the Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts and spent two stints with the Denver Broncos. Bye hails from the Empire State and is the former voice of the University of Albany Great Danes football, basketball and lacrosse programs. Follow them on Twitter: @bstokley14 and @byesline.
Big Al and DMac help you get through the end of your day with the best afternoon sports radio talk show in Denver. DMac is a 1991 graduate of Syracuse University and has covered Colorado sports for The Fan since 2008. Alfred Williams, a College Football Hall of Famer, won the 1990 Butkus Award and was the captain for that year's consensus National Champion University of Colorado squad. He played nine years in the NFL, winning two Super Bowls with the Denver Broncos.
Each morning at 6:30, get your day started right as Schlereth and Evans serves up The Morning Brew. Mark Schlereth and Mike Evan take you around the world of sports, taking in and breaking down the top stories of the day. So tune in to get your fix before you head out into the world for the day. Brought to you every morning by McDonalds.
Terry Wickstrom, the authority in everything outdoors, talks fishing, hunting, camping and more every Saturday morning.rnWickstrom, host of the popular television show "Angling Adventures" and previously "Mountain States Fishing," is a nationally published outdoor author, an accomplished multi-species angler, and has served on the "pro staff" of many top fishing industry companies.rn
Jerry Walters and Cousin Ray Best provide up-to-the-minute details about golf in Colorado, rules and all the professional tours. The Boys of Summer interview the biggest names in golf every Saturday mornings throughout the golf season.